Sep 232013

Week 3 is here and it may give us a little bit of a chance to catch our breaths from a thrilling first few weeks. Among the highlights are a battle of unbeatens (Derby at Wilby) and a matchup between two teams teetering on the .500 brink (Seymour at Wolcott). Here’s Kyle and Remmy in this week’s video preview, which is sponsored by Pour House Sports Tavern in Naugatuck and Wolcott.

Naugatuck running back Tom Douty should keep his momentum going this week against Sacred Heart. Credit: Remmy

Naugatuck running back Tom Douty. Credit: Remmy

Thursday, Sept. 26
Sacred Heart at Naugatuck, 6 p.m.:
The ‘Hounds can take a breath after the wild one last week. (Click here for the extended highlights if you haven’t seen them yet.) We saw some tweets from guys on both teams who said they’d never been so sore after a football game. That makes sense after what we saw.
Remmy’s Take: The Hearts continue to struggle on both side of the ball. A visit to Naugatuck will not be fun. Naugatuck will likely run the ball with Tom Douty very much during this game as it looks to become more balanced on offense and fire on all cylinders before next week’s big game at Woodland.
Kyle’s Take: This game will give the Greyhounds a good chance to recover from that physical game last Friday night against Wolcott, and it gives the ‘Hounds an extra day to prepare for the Hawks in Week 4. Expect Naugy to near 50 points and work on its defense, which was exposed a week ago.
Picks: Remmy- Naugatuck, 49-12. Kyle- Naugatuck, 50-6.

Derby at Wilby, 6:30 p.m.: Who would have thought that our only undefeated matchup in Week 3 of this season would feature the Red Raiders and Wildcats? It was a tough pick to deny this one our Game of the Week honors.
Remmy’s Take: Wilby will attempt to run the ball against Derby and it may have great success. Derby has held it together with the stellar play of Mike Kreiger. Tyrae Small is back this week and I look for the Raiders to establish the run game and go 3-0. This game will be close.
Kyle’s Take: One week Derby does it with offense, and the next week Derby does it with defense. Getting Small back will be a big boost for the Red Raiders, but let’s not pretend that they don’t have other players around. The supporting cast has come up big in two straight games. Wilby’s style will be different than the ones Derby has seen so far, but we don’t know if Wildcats star back Jacob Thomas will play (or at least be 100 percent) for this game. Even though Wilby showed it could throw last week, Derby has a better secondary than Torrington and can probably force some turnovers. The Wildcats’ advantage in this game could be in the trenches, where it will hold a big size edge.
Picks: Remmy- Derby, 28-27. Kyle- Derby, 35-20.

Friday, Sept. 27
Ansonia at Holy Cross, 7 p.m.:
Two years ago, this was our only hope for a good game against the Chargers. Maybe the Crusaders’ defense can keep this competitive for a little while.
Remmy’s Take: Ansonia has been steamrolling its opponents and this week will be no different. The Crusaders have been struggling on offense, mainly with the run game, and do not have that go-to player this season that will make big plays. Too much Jai’Quan McKnight and Arkeel Newsome this week.
Kyle’s Take: Holy Cross’ defense did enough to beat Derby last week, but the Crusaders’ offense turned over the ball five times and scored only twice. The only player who has consistently contributed on offense over the first two weeks is wide receiver Trai Weaver. He may very well be negated by the Chargers’ strong secondary.
Picks: Remmy- Ansonia, 52-12. Kyle- Ansonia, 40-7.

Watertown at Crosby, 7 p.m.: The Indians’ defense is one of the better such units in the league, but Crosby is loaded with athletes. This could be interesting.
Remmy’s Take: Watertown’s defense showed up last week vs. St. Paul but the Indians came up short in the end. I think that gutty performance will carry over into this week and the Indians take down the Bulldogs at Jimmy Lee.
Kyle’s Take: If the Indians aren’t particularly flashy on either side of the ball, we can’t deny one fact: They are physical. Running back Anthony Yordon rushed for more than 200 yards against St. Paul and he should do the same against the Bulldogs. Crosby has trouble finishing drives and has only two touchdowns in two games.
Picks: Remmy- Watertown, 34-21. Kyle- Watertown, 27-12.

Saturday, Sept. 28
Woodland at Kennedy, 10 a.m.:
 The Hawks conclude their three-game ease-into-the-season process with a Saturday morning game at the Stadium. They’ve got one more tune-up before things get more interesting.
Remmy’s Take: Kennedy has not yet proven it can stop anyone’s offense. And with Tanner Kingsley coming to down, chances are the Eagles will have a plethora of issues on defense.
Kyle’s Take: Kingsley has 11 touchdown passes in two games and will surely tack on another solid chunk to that total. Woodland’s defense has been a little soft in the middle of the field but tightens up when necessary. The Hawks should have no problem moving to 3-0.
Picks: Remmy- Woodland, 42-18. Kyle- Woodland, 48-8.

Torrington at St. Paul, 1:30 p.m.: Logan Marchi and the Falcons have suffered a few lopsided defeats at the hands of the Red Raiders in the last few years. That might add a little extra motivation in his last shot against Torrington.
Remmy’s Take: Revenge? Not so sure. But what you can certainly count on is the St. Paul offense to go up and down the field on the Red Raiders. Too much Logan Marchi for anyone in Torrington to handle.
Kyle’s Take: Marchi made a few mistakes against a good Watertown defense last week, and the Indians controlled the clock by rushing the ball. Torrington probably isn’t up to that task, though, and the Falcons are going to put up some big numbers. And let’s face it: St. Paul hasn’t forgotten 80-39.
Picks: Remmy- St. Paul, 49-26. Kyle- St. Paul, 63-14.

For the third week in a row, Kyle and Remmy are on the same page with all their picks (we’re 15-0 so far, so something’s going right). As always, we invite you to make your picks with us on this thread. We’ll keep track of them in our Predictions Tracker throughout the season (we hope to have these updated before the start of this week’s games). A little bit of news and notes before we send you on your way:

  • The Ansonia-Holy Cross game will be broadcast by Kyle, Steve and Bob on WATR 1320. We’ll link to the WATR broadcast in our live scoreboard later this week.
  • As you can see by the absence of the game here, we’ve picked Seymour at Wolcott as our Game of the Week. The contest is a huge one for both teams’ potential postseason aspirations, as the loser will fall to 1-2 and severely jeopardize their hopes (both have Ansonia, Derby, the NVL-SWC Challenge and other tough games on the schedule). We’ll preview that game Wednesday.
  • Also from the Republican-American, the Red Zone Hall of Fame project has selected its first honoree: Torrington’s Charlie Strid. Roger Cleaveland did a nice job profiling the great Red Raiders lineman in the Red Zone, and you can check it out here. Watertown is on deck Wednesday.

Week 3 Predictions are presented by Blanchette Sporting Goods. BSG has been a family-owned and operated sporting goods store for more than 40 years. Located in Shelton, Blanchette carries not only a wide selection of equipment, but also a full line of apparel for several Valley schools. Blanchette can also handle embroidery, screen printing, trophies and more. Call today at 203-929-6331 or visit the showroom on Bridgeport Avenue.

  61 Responses to “Week 3 Predictions”

  1. Naugy
    St Paul

    Only 2 losses this season have come from picking against Derby. Wont do that again till week 5.

  2. Naugatuck
    St. Paul

  3. ValleyFalls1

    Naugatuck over Sacred Heart 49-18: Naugy plays conventional spread, works on defense
    Derby over Wilby 35-21: Valley versus City: cardiac kids win
    Wolcott over Seymour 35-28: Wildcats run around and through Wolcott, but Wolcott too much offensive diversity for Seymour.
    St Paul over Torrington 49-28: Wild times in Britstol, wilder for St Paul
    Woodland over Kennedy 49-6: Pass/run/better defense over run/run/ not so good defense
    Watertown over Crosby 35-14: Toughness against athletes: toughness wins
    Ansonia over Holy Cross 49-12: Long night for Crusaders

    SWC Watch (forgot this last week) just a few

    Masuk over Bunnell
    Pomperaug over New Milford
    Newtown over Brookfield

    How ’bout them Trailblazers from Capitol Prep?? Beating up on New London?

  4. Naugatuck over SH by whatever score they want.

    Wilby over Derby 28-26 – Wilby too fast for Derby who struggled with stopping St. Paul’s passing game all night

    Ansonia over Holy Cross 42-14 – HC not what it used to be, and even when they were “what they used to be” they couldn’t hang with Ansonia

    Wolcott over Seymour 28-16 – Wolcott would have been considered 2nd best in the NVL if they made an extra point last week. Bounce back win here

    Watertown over Crosby 30-12 – Watertown ran the ball well last week, could run right over Crosby and control the clock

    Woodland over Kennedy 52-12 – zzzZZzzz .. can Woodland play someone?

    St. Paul over Torrington 55-32 – Redemption game for the Falcons

  5. naugy over hearts——no kidding
    derby over wilby—-wilby improving
    st.paul over torrington—–what goes around……..
    wolcott over seymour——-lack of air game will kill seymour
    watertown over crosby—-do crosby fans still bark at games?
    ansonia over holy cross——chargers love this game
    woodland over kennedy——Q)who makes woody schedule? A) we know

  6. Ought to be good night to Xavier and Greenwich in the top 10 and hello to North Haven and Darien.

    Naugy over SH – Greyhounds should be able to name the score
    Derby over Wilby – The magic continues in what could be a magical year
    Ansonia over HC – Lavender will name the score
    Seymour over Wolcott – Just felt like picking an upset
    Watertown over Crosby – Indians have good colors
    Woodland over Kennedy – Too much Tanner & Taylor
    St Paul over Torrington – Marchi & his receivers should have a field day

  7. Naugy…yawn ( be nice, ‘hounds)
    Wilby…this will end up being the game of the week
    Ansonia…roll chargers roll
    Wolcott…not close
    Watertown…pounds it on the ground for 1st win
    Woodland…Hawks finally play somebody – next week. Look out, Naugy.
    St Paul…will air it out in home opener.

  8. Naugatuck 52 Scared heart 7- scared heart scores one late. Naugy keeps on truckin.
    Derby- whatever score they choose Wilby 0
    Ansonia 48 Holy Cross 14 don’t know much about holy cross this year but Ansonia is pretty much unstoppable.
    Seymour 42 Wolcott 35 upset special. Seymour needs to play mistake free football to take this one
    Watertown 21 Crosby 7 crosby is back to its old ways
    Woodland 56 Kennedy 14 Kingsley throws for 7 tds this week as usual.
    St. Paul 65 Torrington 14 0-10 coming down the shoot for Torrington. Would love to see marchi throw for 500 yards.

  9. I should have something up on the Red Zone blog about this week’s polls, but Ansonia took a fairly commanding lead atop the media poll and is tied with New Canaan atop the coaches poll.

    You can see both top 10s, as well as other local teams that received votes (Naugatuck and Woodland) near the bottom of the right sidebar.

  10. I like to keep it realistic Kyle lol

  11. Naugatuck
    St. Paul

  12. Ansonia- beating HC in anything is all right by me

    Naugatuck- Won’t be close, keep teaching Cort, things will improve, if it was easy everyone would do it

    Derby- I went against DHS 1st 2 weeks, can’t keep doing it, scrappy bunch just like their HC

    Wolcott- I think this will be close but Eagles pull away

    Crosby- can’t pick a team who bashes the 2 NVL Blog guys!

    Woodland- good team but I can’t understand their schedule, they came in 1st on their side but don’t play top 2 teams from other side, schedule kind of FELL that way I guess!

    St. Paul- if Marchi played vs. Michigan, UConn probably wins!

    Congrats to my former player Tierney Lawlor making the UConn women’s hoop team as a walk-on, so special! I now have 2 players from last year playing college hoop, Lawlor at UConn and Melissa Tirella at Post University! I love seeing HS kids make it at the next level!!

  13. Naugy 55 SH 6 Greyhounds come in flying high from last week
    Derby 30 Wilby 14 Derby gets their RB back and roll
    AHS 55 HC 6 Holy Cross praying AHS takes it easy on them
    Watertown 28 Crosby 0 H2O town gets long awaited W
    Woodland 44 Kennedy 14 JFK cant defend the Hawks
    Wolcott 48 Seymour 13 Angry Eagles whip Wildcats
    St. Paul 48 Diddler HS 21 Marchi may break Kingsley’s record

    • They better roll, Fish, especially the RB. Great kid, always respectful, no excuse for his actions against HC….he better make it up to his team for putting them in the position they were in last week without him.

  14. great to see an ansonia girl make it to the big time.follows former seymour—oops i mean derbys maria conlon.that recruiting thing confuses me

  15. remmy ——start cutting up that wood—-its getting cold——go dodgers

  16. Naugy in a laugher trying to prep for the Hawks
    Wolcott in a last drive win to beat Seymour
    Ansonia the question is can HC score more than 7 on first string
    Derby narrowly escapes and upstart Wilby team.
    Watertown to beat Crosby on penalties
    St. Paul to extract massive revenge on Torrington, my guess letting them score to drive up points. (Just like Torrington did)
    Woodland showing some mercy on Kennedy probably not showing anything that will help Naugy. They win only by 30 with 300 yds and 5 td in one half of play for Tanner

    • Torrington put in their JV and St. Paul scored. They didn’t “let” them score. St. Paul doesn’t have enough kids to even sub out in a blowout. Nobody would ever let anyone score. This is still a Jude Kelly team.

    • A narrow escape is a good thing compared to some of the previous games. I am glad to see that they at least scheduled this game at Municipal Stadium instead of that lush green mud pit behind Wilby High School. I haven’t seen a field that bad since Shelton’s Finn Stadium in 87….huh Fish.

      • Hey Old School’s back!!!
        Finn Stadium drainage was poor back in those days!
        This will be first 3-0 start for Derby since Coach Charles DiCenso was in charge.

  17. Naugy in a blow out
    derby by 2 td’s
    Ansonia in a blow out
    wolcott in a blow out
    woodland in a blow out
    st paul in a high scoring game 68-38

  18. not to get off theme,does anyone know what happened to ANDREW LYTTON?

  19. Ansonia – come on now!

    Wilby – I think they smell 3-0 and Thomas is very underated by this blogs standards

    Wolcott , but I really could go either way.

    Woodland over Kennedy, Woodland has a physical disciplined D

    Crosby over Watertown, I’m biased , Crosby can stop the run check the stats

    St Paul over Torrington, – Bounce back week for Logan

    Naugy over Hearts – Still I have much respect for the Hearts who go out and play every week. That’s real toughness

  20. Im talking about everyone big homie. The entire blog, the only RB’s I’ve seen acknowledged are Newsome and Small from Derby, a few shout outs to Joe Lynch and thats it.

  21. Naugatuck
    St. Paul

  22. A WAGS opinion—–let me know what you think.Went to watch holy cross-ANSONIA frosh be honest—i was digusted to learn that HC only had 7 players available and cancelled.every year waterbury schools cancel either frosh or big deal you say.But how is your program supposed to get better if you cant field those teams?i feel bad for the parents and players that cant play because of constant cancellations Heres my solution.All the suburban schools should leave nvl at one time .Charter a new 9 team league that will open room for non-league games.That will enhance competition,rivalries and league image.they can even petition stratford or milford schools to join.Sure there are other sports involved as well as academics,but the league would be solid all -around.Get rid of the waterbury block once and for all——just sayin

    • Crosby, Wilby, and Kennedy all have freshman and JV Squads, what do you mean? You dont want to get rid of the Waterbury block because the suburbs need the athletes to fill out there rosters as well. FYI this year, Naugatuck cancelled a freshmen game, and Woodland cancelled a freshmen game. What say you to that?

      • The facts are that large struggling school systems get mucho dinero from the state. Ansonia and Derby don’t crap in comparison. Look up ECS sharing and you won’t believe the numbers. Small townspeople end up paying for their own schools and the large city schools as well.

    • Yeah, I’m not on board with nixing Waterbury schools because a perceived lack of freshman programs.

      – Crosby and Wilby always have full programs at all three levels. Kennedy and Holy Cross usually do (Holy Cross obviously not this year, according to what you say)

      – Woodland and Derby dropped their freshman teams this year. The Hawks didn’t have enough turnout and Joe mentioned Derby’s issue.

      – Ansonia dropped its JV program.

      There will be no creating new leagues with any of those schools you bring up in Stratford or Milford because those school offer many more sports than schools like Ansonia and Derby offer. Everybody thinks of solutions in terms of football only rather than athletic programs as wholes.

      • Very true Kyle, Very true.

      • Ansonia has their JV program back, but all these things happen due to lack of numbers. Kids just don’t want to make a committment. Not just football, all sports, numbers are down everywhere. Making a new league probably won’t change that. The issue I have about this week’s freshman game getting cancelled for Ansonia is that HC called and cancelled it Tuesday morning for a Wednesday game. They didn’t know they didn’t have a team before that? At least give AHS or any school ample time to get a make up game. So AHS freshman has played 1 game and for the past 2 weeks they’ve practiced and no game! That just stinks for the kids and isn’t that who this is for?

  23. Wags I love your idea. I have nothing against the city schools but it would make more sense than these lopsided games we see. Actually we don’t have freshman this year either. The city can’t afford it, so for the last several years coach French has had to fundraise. He has done a great job with the help of the grid iron club but its just not fair that the city no longer feels like their tax dollars should go to freshman football. They also became used to the club doing the work of the tax board.

  24. Ansonia
    ST Paul

  25. Naugy 49-13
    Derby 28-21
    Ansonia 48-12
    Woodland 42-20
    Watertown 21-6
    Wolcott 34-20
    St Paul 56-14

  26. Naugy 49-0
    Derby 28-13
    Ansonia 48-7
    Woodland 35-8
    Watertown 35-14
    Wolcott 35-17
    St. Paul 42-20

  27. guys it has nothing to do with frosh programs——–its more the lack of competitevness more than anything—–the constant cancellations exasperate the problems——kyle—–thought youd be smarter than that—–i doubt if naugy and woody cancelled any games in past and ansonia did not have a j.v. team simply because they play most of the varsity games.they took a year and are back with it.the schools from milford would be a perfect fit in all sports/ans-derby mi9ght not compete in all sports,but the rest of new leaugue could.PROTOGE ,this aint my first rodeo,ive seen thousands of games on all levels of all nvl sports and i cant count how many times waterbury teams cancelled games.the truth is they hurt this league,espeacially in football/

    • There will never be a league in which the bottom teams are as good and consistently competitive as the top teams. Go around the state and every league has bottom feeders in some sports.

      All the schools in the SCC are more than happy there and I can’t see any of them ever leaving.

      You have to remember that the NVL offers probably the most limited slate of sports of any league in Connecticut (no field hockey, lacrosse, boys volleyball, ice hockey, wrestling) and many of the schools currently in the league offer even fewer (pretty much every sport besides football, baseball/softball and basketball deals with fewer than 14 schools). The Milford schools (and Stratford schools, for the sake of your argument) would never join a league with schools that offer substantially fewer sports.

      Plus, Holy Cross and Sacred Heart have both recently played in the postseason, and Wilby has been near the .500 mark the last few seasons. As a whole Waterbury schools are a little underwhelming, but the weakness isn’t there alone.

    • Wags my point is, all teams in the nvl go through a period where they cant field enough kids. Wasn’t too long ago Seymour had the same problem. If you don’t have enough you don’t have enough, what else can you do? If its so terrible to watch, why do you sit year after year and torture yourself? Sounds like insanity to me. You don’t have a legit beef, yet I understand this is a public forum so you can say what you want. This may not be your first rodeo, I don’t doubt that. Still you could have been to a thousand rodeo’s,… it doesn’t make you a professional rider. If you had any sense you would realize were talking about sports and kids, all kids need the chance to compete. Your suggestion is to nix an entire public school system of that because “you” want to see more competitive games, is selfish in its own right. Guess what though, nobody cares what you want. Stop bashing Waterbury to satisfy your distaste with how lopsided the league is, its not Waterbury’s fault. Need I remind you, It’s not about you its about giving the kids a chance to compete.

  28. Where are the updated standings? Haha, all I see is you 2 NVL Blog guys are 15-0, where are your Watertown Twitter hecklers now?

    • Haha! We’re trying, we’re trying. I was pretty busy earlier this week with that Rico Brogna feature for the Rep-Am. If we’re lucky, I’ll make it happen this weekend.

      No hard feelings with those Indians. They’re supposed to be confident about themselves. But someone has to be the bearer of bad news.

  29. kyle—- you might be right about scc and swc schools—–however a 9 team league with potential to schedule a couple non-league games which is not too bad an option is feasible——protoge—–its not about what i want or frosh scheduling—its about having a stable competetive league—not just a basketball league.the waterbury schools have been garbage in football and do not bring much in other sports either.they have atheletes——so whats the problem? all the suburban schools would benefit in a new league.the waterbury schools? join the berkshire league.

    • I’m not saying I’d ever be opposed to such a football alignment one day, but it would screw up the whole league setup in many leagues so badly that it just isn’t feasible.

      When the NVL is deep and competitive like it is this year, you still have some good squads: Ansonia, Naugatuck, Woodland, Derby, Wolcott, Seymour, Holy Cross, St. Paul to start … Oxford’s coming next year, Watertown and Torrington have some young starters and Wilby’s been competitive of late. It’s not as awful as it has seemed in recent years.

  30. The following teams all will play or are playing each other now. That’s eight. Two outside games and you have a league. The Waterbury schools have been holding the rest of the league hostage for years. Let them have their own Big East Basketball league. They can have full participation in all other sports.

    Seymour, Oxford

  31. Didn’t Crosby beat Ansonia a couple years ago with Gondek?

  32. perspective

    Wags it’s exacerbate not exasperate, no wonder Ansonia schools have such a low state ranking; by the way you’re killing the Waterbury schools but wouldn’t Kennedy be alot better with Newsome and Mcknight?